Monday, December 27, 2010

Tim Tebow...The emergence of a great fantasy football player begins!

Let's face it...Tim Tebow is a winner and does whatever it takes to get the job done. Following one of the most-storied, if not most successful, college football careers, Tebow has put together back-to-back starting performances that have many nay-sayers changing their tunes.

First of all, before I dive into the current and future fantasy value of Tebow, I would like to address the Tebow nay-sayers with a few startling statistics and comparisons. In comparing Tebow's first two NFL starts to that of John Elway, Steve Young, and Michael Vick, Tebow's numbers are much more impressive. I am not, in any way, stating that Tebow will have a better career than any of the aforementioned players. You nay-sayers might be the same people that once doubted Elway, Young, and Vick. It is very easy to sit back and critique the play of a 23-24 yr. old rookie playing in the most critical position on the football field. The fact of the matter is that a high percentage of the most highly-touted high school and college quarterbacks simply do not succeed in the NFL. It takes a very special individual with a ton of talent and ability and the heart of a winner. Well, I have news for all of you, Tim Tebow has everything it takes to be a great NFL quarterback, and he is here to stay for a very long time.

In John Elway's inaugural NFL season of 1983, he started 10 games, threw 7 TD's and 14 INT's, while completing only 47.5% of his passes. Steve Young started 5 games of his first NFL season with the Tampa Bay Bucs. It took Young a full 4 games to compile 2 TD passes and 1 rushing TD. He also threw 6 INT's in his first four starts. Michael Vick finished his first NFL season by starting the final two games. Vick completed only 46% of his passes for 380 yards and 1 TD, rushed for 110 yards but failed to reach the endzone on the ground.

Over the last two weeks, Tim Tebow has managed to stay calm and composed in a tough loss at Oakland (where he threw a TD and ran 40 yards for another TD), lead a come-from-behind win vs. the Texans, has thrown for 446 yards and 2 TD's, rushed for 105 yards and 2 TD's, and scored the game-winning touchdown on a bootleg run in the red zone. There's no doubt that Tim Tebow is a winner. We all know that to be true. We know he is a class-act, has a tremendous work ethic, and the type of guy you want your daughter to marry. Now, let's get to that fantasy value that Tebow brings to the table as we wind down the 2010 season and look towards the future.

Tim Tebow has averaged 22 fantasy points per game in his only two starts of the season. Let's put that into proper perspective. Take a look at the top 6 fantasy quarterbacks of 2010:

1. Michael Vick (20.0 pts./game)
2. Tom Brady (18.3)
3. Philip Rivers (17.7)
4. Aaron Rodgers (17.5)
5. Peyton Manning (17.4)
6. Drew Brees (17.4)

In fantasy terms, Tebow is quickly becoming a solid fantasy option for 2011. Tebow has been the 5th-best fantasy point producing QB in week 15 and 16, and is second only to Michael Vick in total fantasy points     over that span (assuming that Vick has a decent game tonight).

The off-season in Denver will clarify where the Broncos' stand on Tebow's future. The fans want him to be the Broncos' savior, but management and a new coaching staff might have other ideas. As the Broncos' organization looks to the off-season, I, The Phenom, make one plea to the powers that be...solidify Tebow as your starter and QB of the future, focus on your weaknesses on defense (specifically the lack of pass rush that has crippled your chances to compete in a mediocre, if not bad division), strengthen your O line and improve on your horrendous running game, and get a defensive-minded head coach. The Broncos have won in the past with a beast of an O line, excellent runningbacks, deep receiving corps, a tough-minded and opportunistic defense, and a quarterback that did everything it took to put his team in a position to win...every game!

The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/

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