And the award goes to...Randy Moss!
First of all, my research included healthy players, only. Randy Moss, now on his third team this season, has produced a meager 27 receptions, 375 yards, and 5 TD's in 13 games played. Moss was typically drafted in the late 1st or early 2nd round in most fantasy football drafts prior to the season. He was a top 15 pick with high expectations.
On the other hand, Moss' tendency to self-destruct, which we have seen many times over his 13-year Hall of Fame career, once again reared its ugly head. Prior to the 2010 season, it was reported that Moss was not happy as a Patriot and that he might not be a Patriot in 2011. This should have been your first sign that things were not going well for Moss in New England. In 2007, Randy Moss caught 23 TD's and helped his team make it to the Super Bowl, in which they endured a shocking loss to an underdog Giants' team. During his stay in New England, Moss caught 50 TD's in 52 games and further cemented his place in Canton when it is all said and done. However, if you drafted him in the 1st or 2nd round of your fantasy football draft, you are probably still cursing him for ruining your season.
Moss's fantasy production in 2010 is at the level of an undrafted free agent. James Jones of the Green Bay Packers and David Gettis of the Carolina Panthers have had more catches and yards than Moss. In fact, Eddie Royal (Broncos) would have been the better option than Moss. And, just when you thought it couldn't get any worse, Moss throws a big goose egg in the reception column in a Thursday night loss to the Colts. I know for a fact that people stopped playing Moss a few weeks ago, simply because their fantasy seasons were coming to a screeching halt. Drafting Moss with your first or second pick most likely caused you to lose many games and left you wondering when he might have his break-out game. Well, I am here to tell you that it won't happen this season. Moss is a definite no-play from here on out.
I examined a sample of fantasy teams that drafted Moss and none of them made the playoffs in their respective leagues. In fact, their overall winning percentage was a lowly .396. Even the very best fantasy player would have a very difficult time recovering from Moss' devastatingly poor season. It's no consolation but the following statement might help you to cope with your lack of success after drafting Moss in 2010. Just blame it on Randy.
Biggest Busts Honorable Mentions
1. Larry Fitzgerald
2. Chad Ochocinco
3. Matt Schaub
4. Ray Rice
5. Shonn Greene
6. Mike Sims-Walker
7. Brandon Marshall
8. Hines Ward
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
Saturday, December 11, 2010
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
Tulo Gets Paid!
Tulo Gets Paid!
Troy Tulowitzki, the all-star shortstop for the Colorado Rockies, just received a 7-yr./ $134 million contract extension. And, you know what? He's worth every penny! Tulo played in only 122 games in 2010 due to a wrist injury that kept him sidelined during the middle of the season. That being said, he still batted .315, hit 27 HRs, and drove in 95 RBI. Tulo will be a top 5 fantasy pick in the upcoming 2011 draft as he is projected to hit 40 HRs and 125 RBI.
Tulo was the first round pick (9th overall) on my championship fantasy team in 2010. I put together one of the most dominant fantasy baseball seasons of all-time as I claimed first place in early May and stayed on top throughout the remainder of the season. In fact, I finished 14.5 points ahead of the second place team. The race was pretty much over in July, and then Tulo came back from his injury and went on a tear that sealed the deal.
As one of the leaders of my 2010 championship team, Tulowitzki did not disappoint. On the other hand, I probably could have won the title without Tulo. Here's just a sample of the team I fielded in the 2010 season (in a 12-team league), which has to be one of the greatest fantasy baseball teams of all-time:
Tulowitzki/ COL (.315, 27-95)
Cano/ NYY (.319, 29-109)
C. Gonzalez/ COL (.336, 34-117)
Howard/ PHI (.276, 31-108)
Beltre/ BOS (.321, 28-102)
Jimenez/ COL (19 wins, 2.88, 214 k's, 1.15 WHIP)
Lee/ TEX (12 wins, 3.18, 185 k's, 1.00 WHIP)
Oswalt/ PHI (13 wins, 2.76, 193 k's, 1.03 WHIP)
Hernandez/ SEA (13 wins, 2.27, 232 k's, 1.06 WHIP)
Soria/ KC (43 saves, 1.78, 71 k's, 1.05 WHIP)
Ok, there might have been better teams out there somewhere, but I doubt it. As the 2011 MLB season approaches, many of the aforementioned players will be top draft choices. I can almost guarantee that Tulo, Carlos Gonzalez, and Robinson cano will be in the top 5 along with Josh Hamilton and Albert Pujols.
The Phenom
Troy Tulowitzki, the all-star shortstop for the Colorado Rockies, just received a 7-yr./ $134 million contract extension. And, you know what? He's worth every penny! Tulo played in only 122 games in 2010 due to a wrist injury that kept him sidelined during the middle of the season. That being said, he still batted .315, hit 27 HRs, and drove in 95 RBI. Tulo will be a top 5 fantasy pick in the upcoming 2011 draft as he is projected to hit 40 HRs and 125 RBI.
Tulo was the first round pick (9th overall) on my championship fantasy team in 2010. I put together one of the most dominant fantasy baseball seasons of all-time as I claimed first place in early May and stayed on top throughout the remainder of the season. In fact, I finished 14.5 points ahead of the second place team. The race was pretty much over in July, and then Tulo came back from his injury and went on a tear that sealed the deal.
As one of the leaders of my 2010 championship team, Tulowitzki did not disappoint. On the other hand, I probably could have won the title without Tulo. Here's just a sample of the team I fielded in the 2010 season (in a 12-team league), which has to be one of the greatest fantasy baseball teams of all-time:
Tulowitzki/ COL (.315, 27-95)
Cano/ NYY (.319, 29-109)
C. Gonzalez/ COL (.336, 34-117)
Howard/ PHI (.276, 31-108)
Beltre/ BOS (.321, 28-102)
Jimenez/ COL (19 wins, 2.88, 214 k's, 1.15 WHIP)
Lee/ TEX (12 wins, 3.18, 185 k's, 1.00 WHIP)
Oswalt/ PHI (13 wins, 2.76, 193 k's, 1.03 WHIP)
Hernandez/ SEA (13 wins, 2.27, 232 k's, 1.06 WHIP)
Soria/ KC (43 saves, 1.78, 71 k's, 1.05 WHIP)
Ok, there might have been better teams out there somewhere, but I doubt it. As the 2011 MLB season approaches, many of the aforementioned players will be top draft choices. I can almost guarantee that Tulo, Carlos Gonzalez, and Robinson cano will be in the top 5 along with Josh Hamilton and Albert Pujols.
The Phenom
The Phenom's Top 10 Fantasy Basketball "Value" Plays of 2010-2011
The Phenom's Top 10 Fantasy Basketball "Value" Plays of 2010-2011 (as of 12/8/10)
1. Russell Westbrook/ OKC (897 total fantasy points) The #1 overall fantasy producer in 2010-2011, Westbrook barely broke the top 40 picks in many drafts
2. Raymond Felton/ NYK (765) The 11th overall fantasy producer, Felton was drafted late in some leagues and went undrafted in others
3. Kevin Love/ MIN (833) The 5th overall fantasy producer, Love was typically drafted in the middle rounds with some exceptions in the 4th and 5th rounds
4. Mike Conley/ MEM (641) Resides in the top 30 of overall production but went undrafted in some drafts and was not typically taken in the top 100
5. Paul Millsap/ UTA (685) A top 30 fantasy producer that was taken late in the top 100
6. Luis Scola/ HOU (700) A top 20 fantasy producer who did not crack the top 50 in many drafts
7. Lamar Odom/ LAL (662) In the midst of a phenomenal fantasy season, Odom is the 25th best fantasy producer and barely cracked the top 100 in the draft
8. Rudy Gay/ MEM (762) Resides just outside of the top 10 fantasy producers, Gay was taken outside of the top 40 in the draft
9. Monta Ellis/ GS (783) The 9th best fantasy producer of '10-'11, Ellis was taken mostly in the early to middle rounds (3rd- 5th rounds)
10. Al Horford/ ATL (724) A top 20 fantasy producer, Horford was typically taken late in the top 40
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
1. Russell Westbrook/ OKC (897 total fantasy points) The #1 overall fantasy producer in 2010-2011, Westbrook barely broke the top 40 picks in many drafts
2. Raymond Felton/ NYK (765) The 11th overall fantasy producer, Felton was drafted late in some leagues and went undrafted in others
3. Kevin Love/ MIN (833) The 5th overall fantasy producer, Love was typically drafted in the middle rounds with some exceptions in the 4th and 5th rounds
4. Mike Conley/ MEM (641) Resides in the top 30 of overall production but went undrafted in some drafts and was not typically taken in the top 100
5. Paul Millsap/ UTA (685) A top 30 fantasy producer that was taken late in the top 100
6. Luis Scola/ HOU (700) A top 20 fantasy producer who did not crack the top 50 in many drafts
7. Lamar Odom/ LAL (662) In the midst of a phenomenal fantasy season, Odom is the 25th best fantasy producer and barely cracked the top 100 in the draft
8. Rudy Gay/ MEM (762) Resides just outside of the top 10 fantasy producers, Gay was taken outside of the top 40 in the draft
9. Monta Ellis/ GS (783) The 9th best fantasy producer of '10-'11, Ellis was taken mostly in the early to middle rounds (3rd- 5th rounds)
10. Al Horford/ ATL (724) A top 20 fantasy producer, Horford was typically taken late in the top 40
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
Tuesday, December 7, 2010
Is he really Werth $126 Million?
The Washington Nationals, once again, showed their commitment to mediocrity and Scott Boras, Werth's agent, showed why he is still the best in the business. How is it possible that Jayson Werth could command a $126 Million deal over 7 years? Here's a better question...why would Werth leave a perennial powerhouse and World Series contender like the Phillies to go to one of the worst organizations in the MLB? The answer is....money, of course. I just don't see the upside for the Nationals as this might turn out to be the most puzzling and lopsided deals of the 2010-2011 MLB off-season.
Let's analyze this perplexing move by the Washington Nationals. First of all, they just lost Adam Dunn, who opted to sign with the Chicago White Sox. Secondly, besides Ryan Zimmerman (.307, 25 HRs-85 RBI in '10), the Nationals have nothing in their lineup. Who will Werth drive in? Better yet, who is going to drive in Werth? He decided to go from a lineup that featured Howard, Utley, Rollins, Victorino, Polanco, and Ibanez, to a lineup with Kennedy, Willingham, Morgan, and Desmond??? Say what?
Jayson Werth was always an overrated fantasy player, but he just became the most overrated player in the MLB for the 2011 season. He will most likely project at .275, 20 HRs, and 85 RBI. He simply will not see the same pitches that he has seen over the last few years in Philly. Opposing pitchers can afford to pitch around him and put him on base, which means that he will swing at balls outside of the zone. Werth will not be a prime fantasy option in 2011...trust me.
Werth's 2010 numbers were similar to those of several other players in his salary bracket. Werth's 2010 salary ($7,500,000) was high for a guy of his caliber, but his baseball stats were similar to those of Casey McGehee ($427,500), Nick Swisher ($6,850,000), Aubrey Huff ($3,000,000), Andre Ethier ($5,750,000), and Shin-Soo Choo ($461,100). Choo hit for a higher average than Werth, Swisher hit more HRs, and McGehee, Swisher, Huff, and Choo all drove in more runs in '10. In any 2011 auction fantasy league, Werth won't be selected by any professional level fantasy leaguers. There's no value there. Werth is now in a salary bracket ($18 Million/ year) with the likes of Ryan Howard, Torii Hunter, Miguel Cabrera, Ichiro, Matt Holliday, and Mark Teixeira, but his production is nowhere near these guys.
The Nationals made a big mistake and they will pay, literally, for it. Werth is a good middle-round fantasy selection, a guy that can be your 3rd OF or even fill-in for your 3rd OF on occasion. He is, by no means, a top 5 round pick in any format.
And, to answer my own question and the same one that most fantasy players are asking themselves...NO, he is not Werth $126 Million!
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
Let's analyze this perplexing move by the Washington Nationals. First of all, they just lost Adam Dunn, who opted to sign with the Chicago White Sox. Secondly, besides Ryan Zimmerman (.307, 25 HRs-85 RBI in '10), the Nationals have nothing in their lineup. Who will Werth drive in? Better yet, who is going to drive in Werth? He decided to go from a lineup that featured Howard, Utley, Rollins, Victorino, Polanco, and Ibanez, to a lineup with Kennedy, Willingham, Morgan, and Desmond??? Say what?
Jayson Werth was always an overrated fantasy player, but he just became the most overrated player in the MLB for the 2011 season. He will most likely project at .275, 20 HRs, and 85 RBI. He simply will not see the same pitches that he has seen over the last few years in Philly. Opposing pitchers can afford to pitch around him and put him on base, which means that he will swing at balls outside of the zone. Werth will not be a prime fantasy option in 2011...trust me.
Werth's 2010 numbers were similar to those of several other players in his salary bracket. Werth's 2010 salary ($7,500,000) was high for a guy of his caliber, but his baseball stats were similar to those of Casey McGehee ($427,500), Nick Swisher ($6,850,000), Aubrey Huff ($3,000,000), Andre Ethier ($5,750,000), and Shin-Soo Choo ($461,100). Choo hit for a higher average than Werth, Swisher hit more HRs, and McGehee, Swisher, Huff, and Choo all drove in more runs in '10. In any 2011 auction fantasy league, Werth won't be selected by any professional level fantasy leaguers. There's no value there. Werth is now in a salary bracket ($18 Million/ year) with the likes of Ryan Howard, Torii Hunter, Miguel Cabrera, Ichiro, Matt Holliday, and Mark Teixeira, but his production is nowhere near these guys.
The Nationals made a big mistake and they will pay, literally, for it. Werth is a good middle-round fantasy selection, a guy that can be your 3rd OF or even fill-in for your 3rd OF on occasion. He is, by no means, a top 5 round pick in any format.
And, to answer my own question and the same one that most fantasy players are asking themselves...NO, he is not Werth $126 Million!
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
Sunday, December 5, 2010
The Good (Cowboys), the Bad (Redskins), and the Ugly (Peyton Manning)
The Dallas Cowboys (4-8) stunned the Indianapolis Colts (6-6),38-35, in OT at Indianapolis on Sunday. Jason Garrett has now won 3 of the 4 games at the helm of the Cowboys and has done it with a much-improved offense. Under Garrett, the Cowboys have scored an average of 33.3 points per game after scoring only 20.1 points per game in the first 8 games of the season under the leadership of Wade Phillips. The decision to fire Phillips and promote Garrett has paid off big-time as the Cowboys are on their way to salvaging the 2010 season. No, they aren't going to make the playoffs and they will most likely finish the season 6-10 or 7-9. That being said, it's a far cry from being 1-7. Up ahead for the Cowboys are the Eagles (twice), the Cardinals, and the Redskins. 2 wins is probable and 3 wins is possible. Jason Garrett should be given the reigns of the Cowboys as they go into the off-season as one of the biggest underachievers of the 2010 season.
The Washington Redskins (5-7) got torched by the Giants (8-4), 31-7, on Sunday. The game wasn't as close as the score would reveal since the Giants could have scored 40 or 50 points against the porous defense of the Redskins. The Giants' RBs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs combined for 200 yards on the ground and scored 4 TDs. Jacobs broke off runs of 39 and 28 yards while Bradshaw ran untouched to the endzone on runs of 8 and 10 yards. Besides the Redskins defensive woes against a Giants' team decimated by key injuries to their top wide receivers, Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks, the most troubling aspect of the Redskins' must be their inability to score points. The 'Skins have now lost 4 of their last 5 (their only win coming against a down Titans' team, 19-16 in OT), and find themselves 5-7 and out of the playoff race for good. The Redskins have only broken the 20-point mark 4 times and have yet to score more than 30 points in a game in 2010. The 'Skins are clearly the most inconsistent team in the NFL if you break down their season into 4-game increments. In the first four, they managed to beat Dallas and Philadelphia but lost to lackluster teams like St. Louis and Houston. In their next four games, they beat Green Bay (8-4), Chicago (9-3), lost a close one to Indianapolis (6-6), and lost to Detroit (2-10). Over their last four games, they have managed to lose to Philly in a 59-28 thrashing, beat Tennessee (5-7) in OT, and lost to Minnesota (5-7), and lost again today to the Giants (8-4). Since beating the Bears in Chicago, the 'Skins have given up 32 points per game. The Redskins are last in total defense in the NFL. Their offense is ranked 20th overall in the NFL. And...I thought Mike Shanahan was going to turn this team around. With their remaining games vs. TB, @ Dallas, @ Jacksonville, and vs. NYG, the 'Skins will most likely finish 6-10 in 2010. 6-10 is better than 4-12 in '09, but is a far cry from the Redskins' 8-8 in '08 and their 9-7 (and playoff appearance) in '07.
What the heck has happened to Peyton Manning? Yes, he is still considered the best quarterback in the game, but he has many of us questioning this fact over the last few weeks. After starting the season in a typical Peytonesque fashion with 15 TD's and only 2 INT's in his first 7 games, Manning has embarked on the worst 5-game stretch of his Hall of Fame career. The Colts began the season 5-2 and were well on their way to yet another stellar season when the nightmare began for the 2010 Colts. Over the last five games, the Colts have gone 1-4, and Manning has thrown 13 INT's. 3 of the 4 losses were close games in which the Colts typically win with relative ease. Unfortunately for the Colts, Manning has committed several key turnovers in critical times in each of the 4 losses and had one of his lowest QB ratings in the win over the lowly Bengals (2-10). Manning is currently on pace to throw 18-19 INTs in 2010, which would be his season-high since the 2002 season. The only way to salvage this nightmarish season is for the great Peyton Manning to lead his team into the playoffs as he has done for the past 8 seasons and for 10 of his first 12 seasons. You know what? I bet the Colts right the ship and make the playoffs. He's too darn good to think otherwise. Oh, by the way, the Colts face the Titans (5-7) twice, the Raiders (6-6), and the Jaguars (7-5) in their final four games. I predict a 10-6 record, another division title, and another respectable run in the playoffs.
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
The Washington Redskins (5-7) got torched by the Giants (8-4), 31-7, on Sunday. The game wasn't as close as the score would reveal since the Giants could have scored 40 or 50 points against the porous defense of the Redskins. The Giants' RBs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs combined for 200 yards on the ground and scored 4 TDs. Jacobs broke off runs of 39 and 28 yards while Bradshaw ran untouched to the endzone on runs of 8 and 10 yards. Besides the Redskins defensive woes against a Giants' team decimated by key injuries to their top wide receivers, Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks, the most troubling aspect of the Redskins' must be their inability to score points. The 'Skins have now lost 4 of their last 5 (their only win coming against a down Titans' team, 19-16 in OT), and find themselves 5-7 and out of the playoff race for good. The Redskins have only broken the 20-point mark 4 times and have yet to score more than 30 points in a game in 2010. The 'Skins are clearly the most inconsistent team in the NFL if you break down their season into 4-game increments. In the first four, they managed to beat Dallas and Philadelphia but lost to lackluster teams like St. Louis and Houston. In their next four games, they beat Green Bay (8-4), Chicago (9-3), lost a close one to Indianapolis (6-6), and lost to Detroit (2-10). Over their last four games, they have managed to lose to Philly in a 59-28 thrashing, beat Tennessee (5-7) in OT, and lost to Minnesota (5-7), and lost again today to the Giants (8-4). Since beating the Bears in Chicago, the 'Skins have given up 32 points per game. The Redskins are last in total defense in the NFL. Their offense is ranked 20th overall in the NFL. And...I thought Mike Shanahan was going to turn this team around. With their remaining games vs. TB, @ Dallas, @ Jacksonville, and vs. NYG, the 'Skins will most likely finish 6-10 in 2010. 6-10 is better than 4-12 in '09, but is a far cry from the Redskins' 8-8 in '08 and their 9-7 (and playoff appearance) in '07.
What the heck has happened to Peyton Manning? Yes, he is still considered the best quarterback in the game, but he has many of us questioning this fact over the last few weeks. After starting the season in a typical Peytonesque fashion with 15 TD's and only 2 INT's in his first 7 games, Manning has embarked on the worst 5-game stretch of his Hall of Fame career. The Colts began the season 5-2 and were well on their way to yet another stellar season when the nightmare began for the 2010 Colts. Over the last five games, the Colts have gone 1-4, and Manning has thrown 13 INT's. 3 of the 4 losses were close games in which the Colts typically win with relative ease. Unfortunately for the Colts, Manning has committed several key turnovers in critical times in each of the 4 losses and had one of his lowest QB ratings in the win over the lowly Bengals (2-10). Manning is currently on pace to throw 18-19 INTs in 2010, which would be his season-high since the 2002 season. The only way to salvage this nightmarish season is for the great Peyton Manning to lead his team into the playoffs as he has done for the past 8 seasons and for 10 of his first 12 seasons. You know what? I bet the Colts right the ship and make the playoffs. He's too darn good to think otherwise. Oh, by the way, the Colts face the Titans (5-7) twice, the Raiders (6-6), and the Jaguars (7-5) in their final four games. I predict a 10-6 record, another division title, and another respectable run in the playoffs.
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
Saturday, December 4, 2010
Arian Foster...Not a fluke...The Real Deal!
On Thursday night, Arian Foster solidifed himself as the best RB in the NFL with another fine performance against a solid Eagles' defense. Foster had 22 carries for 83 yds, 2 receptions for 26 yds, and had a touchdown on the ground and in the air. Foster has become the safest fantasy play at the RB position since LaDainian Tomlinson's prime in San Diego. Foster is well on his way to earning the MVP of the NFL for the 2010 season.
On the other hand, Foster has only faced 4 of the top 10 rushing defenses in the NFL during the 2010 season. He will face another one in the Baltimore Ravens in week 14. Foster has only surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark against one of those four defenses and is only averaging 3.9 yards per carry against those teams. Is Foster dominant? I don't think so...but he is consistent. He produces respectable fantasy points EVERY week.
As the #1 fantasy point producer in the NFL, Foster does it in a variety of ways. He has six 100-yard plus rushing games, 15 total TD's, and 50 receptions, making him the safest fantasy start in the league. Foster is also the #1 option at RB, and ahead of Peyton Hillis and Adrian Peterson by as much as 30-40 points. You have to keep in mind that Arian Foster was typically chosen in the middle rounds of fantasy drafts and came in as high as the 45th overall pick and as low as the 68th pick in my three fantasy drafts. Therefore, Foster has become one of the greatest fantasy value picks of all-time.
Foster faces the Baltimore Ravens in week 14, but there's no need for concern. Foster put up 84 yards rushing, 2 TD's, and caught 6 passes for 59 yards against a stout New York Jets' defense just a few weeks ago. He can beat you on the ground and through the air. Besides, after facing the Ravens in week 14, Foster will go up against some of the worst defenses in the league (TEN, DEN, and JAX) to finish off the 2010 season.
The Texans will most likely miss the playoffs and have all but been eliminated from playoff contention with their most recent loss to the Eagles. However, the 2010 NFL season has seen the emergence of Arian Foster, who will find himself as a top 5 fantasy pick in your 2011 drafts. Keep playing this guy, no matter what the match-up, and you will win!
Arian Foster...not a fluke...is the real deal!
The Phenom
On the other hand, Foster has only faced 4 of the top 10 rushing defenses in the NFL during the 2010 season. He will face another one in the Baltimore Ravens in week 14. Foster has only surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark against one of those four defenses and is only averaging 3.9 yards per carry against those teams. Is Foster dominant? I don't think so...but he is consistent. He produces respectable fantasy points EVERY week.
As the #1 fantasy point producer in the NFL, Foster does it in a variety of ways. He has six 100-yard plus rushing games, 15 total TD's, and 50 receptions, making him the safest fantasy start in the league. Foster is also the #1 option at RB, and ahead of Peyton Hillis and Adrian Peterson by as much as 30-40 points. You have to keep in mind that Arian Foster was typically chosen in the middle rounds of fantasy drafts and came in as high as the 45th overall pick and as low as the 68th pick in my three fantasy drafts. Therefore, Foster has become one of the greatest fantasy value picks of all-time.
Foster faces the Baltimore Ravens in week 14, but there's no need for concern. Foster put up 84 yards rushing, 2 TD's, and caught 6 passes for 59 yards against a stout New York Jets' defense just a few weeks ago. He can beat you on the ground and through the air. Besides, after facing the Ravens in week 14, Foster will go up against some of the worst defenses in the league (TEN, DEN, and JAX) to finish off the 2010 season.
The Texans will most likely miss the playoffs and have all but been eliminated from playoff contention with their most recent loss to the Eagles. However, the 2010 NFL season has seen the emergence of Arian Foster, who will find himself as a top 5 fantasy pick in your 2011 drafts. Keep playing this guy, no matter what the match-up, and you will win!
Arian Foster...not a fluke...is the real deal!
The Phenom
Wednesday, December 1, 2010
NFL Week 13 Huge Play of the Week! MJD, baby!
Maurice Jones-Drew is primed for a huge day against the Tennesse Titans this weekend. Yes, the Titans have the 17th ranked rush defense in the NFL, but that's not my focus. For whatever reason, the Titans are terrible at covering runningbacks out of the backfield.
For example, in a week 7 match-up with the Eagles, LeSean McCoy caught 6 passes for 54 yards. The Titans won as Kenny Britt had a career day with 225 yds receiving and 3 TD's.
In week 8, the Chargers completed 14 (yes I said 14!) passes to runningbacks out of the backfield. The Chargers RB's amassed 86 yards receiving out of the backfield and scored a touchdown as well.
Last week, Arian Foster damaged the Titans on the ground for 143 yds rushing and in the air with 9 receptions and 75 yds. Amazingly, Foster did not score against the Titans after scoring 13 total TD's through his first 11 games of the season.
In addition, the Titans thrashed the Jaguars 30-3, in Jacksonville, back in mid-October. The Jaguars' David Garrard sustained a concussion in the second quarter of that game and did not return. Garrard is healthy for this rematch and I expect a very different outcome. These teams are going in different directions as the Jaguars have won 3 of their last 4 and the Titans have now lost four straight games. The Jaguars are now 6-5, after starting the season 3-4, and find themselves tied for first in the AFC South. This game is huge for the Jags, and they know it!
You can count on MJD rolling up big numbers against the Titans. Last week, MJD produced 113 rushing yds against a tough NY Giants' defense (1st in NFL in pass defense, and 9th in rush defense). I think he'll do fine against the Titans' porous defense (17th rush defense, 26th pass defense).
The Phenom's prediction: JAX 34, TEN 20
MJD: 24 rushes-120 yds, TD; 7 rec.- 80 yds, TD
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
For example, in a week 7 match-up with the Eagles, LeSean McCoy caught 6 passes for 54 yards. The Titans won as Kenny Britt had a career day with 225 yds receiving and 3 TD's.
In week 8, the Chargers completed 14 (yes I said 14!) passes to runningbacks out of the backfield. The Chargers RB's amassed 86 yards receiving out of the backfield and scored a touchdown as well.
Last week, Arian Foster damaged the Titans on the ground for 143 yds rushing and in the air with 9 receptions and 75 yds. Amazingly, Foster did not score against the Titans after scoring 13 total TD's through his first 11 games of the season.
In addition, the Titans thrashed the Jaguars 30-3, in Jacksonville, back in mid-October. The Jaguars' David Garrard sustained a concussion in the second quarter of that game and did not return. Garrard is healthy for this rematch and I expect a very different outcome. These teams are going in different directions as the Jaguars have won 3 of their last 4 and the Titans have now lost four straight games. The Jaguars are now 6-5, after starting the season 3-4, and find themselves tied for first in the AFC South. This game is huge for the Jags, and they know it!
You can count on MJD rolling up big numbers against the Titans. Last week, MJD produced 113 rushing yds against a tough NY Giants' defense (1st in NFL in pass defense, and 9th in rush defense). I think he'll do fine against the Titans' porous defense (17th rush defense, 26th pass defense).
The Phenom's prediction: JAX 34, TEN 20
MJD: 24 rushes-120 yds, TD; 7 rec.- 80 yds, TD
The Phenom
http://www.fantasysportsphenom.com/
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